Forex Profit Alert: June 30, 2008

June 30, 2008

Today was a humbling day indeed. The Swiss absolutely spanked us and sent us crying home to mamma. Ok, it wasn’t that bad but getting stopped out is never fun.

On the bright side, we do have six new trades that all look promising. When the Swiss moved through our low pivot reversal and closed up this indicated that the pair is reversing and continuing higher. Look for this pair over the next few days to move to previous support which has now become our new resistance level.

Today we have 6 new trades and 1 closed trade.

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Global Economic Calendar: November 16 - 21, 2008

June 30, 2008

                                                                        November 16 - 21, 2008

Date Time* Currency Event Actual Forecast Previous
Sun
Nov 16
18:50
PM
JPY Gross Domestic Product Annualized (3Q P) -0.4% 0.1% -3.7%(R-)
  18:50
PM
JPY Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (3Q P) -0.1% 0.0% -0.9%(R-)
  18:50
PM
JPY Nominal Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (3Q P) -0.5 -0.3% -1.2%(R-)
  18:30
PM
JPY Gross Domestic Product Deflator (YoY) (3Q P) -1.6% -1.7% -1.6%(R-)
  18:30
PM
JPY Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) (SEP) -0.6% -0.5% -1.3%(R+)
  19:30
PM
AUD Retail Sales Ex Inflation(QoQ) (3Q) 0.1% 0.4% -0.2%(R+)
Mon
Nov 17
05:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone Trade Balance (euros) (SEP) -5.6B -6.0B -9.4B(R-)
  05:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone Trade Balance s.a. (euros) (SEP) -5.7B -5.7B -5.7B(R+)
  08:30
AM
USD Empire Manufacturing (NOV) -25.43 -26.00 -24.60
  19:30
PM
AUD Reserve Bank of Australia Board Minutes (NOV)             
Tue
Nov 18
00:00
AM
JPY Leading Index (SEP F) 89.4  89.4 89.2
  04:30
AM
GBP Consumer Price Index (MoM) (OCT) -0.2%  0.1% 0.5%
  04:30
AM
GBP Consumer Price Index (YoY) (OCT) 4.5%  4.8% 5.2%
  04:30
AM
GBP Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) (OCT) 1.9%  2.2% 2.2%
  09:00
AM
USD Net Long-term TIC Flows (SEP) $66.2B  $27.2B  $21.0B(R+)
  09:00
AM
USD Total Net TIC Flows (SEP) $143.4B    $21.4B(R+)
Wed
Nov 19
04:30
AM
GBP Bank of England Minutes      
  06:00
AM
GBP U.K. CBI Industrial Trends (NOV)      
  08:30
AM
CAD Leading Indicators (MoM) (OCT) -0.4%  -0.2% -0.3%(R-)
  08:30
AM
USD Consumer Price Index n.s.a. (OCT) 216.573    218.783
  08:30
AM
USD Consumer Price Index (MoM) (OCT) -1.0%  -0.8% 0.0%
  08:30
AM
USD Consumer Price Index (YoY) (OCT) 3.7%  4.1% 4.9%
  08:30
AM
USD Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (MoM) (OCT) -0.1%  0.2% 0.1%
  08:30
AM
USD Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (YoY) (OCT) 2.2%  2.4% 2.5%
  08:30
AM
USD Consumer Price Index Core Index s.a. (OCT) 216.801    216.956
  08:30
AM
USD Housing Starts (OCT) 791K  780K 817K
  14:00
PM
USD Minutes of FOMC Meeting      
  18:50
PM
JPY Merchandise Trade Balance Total (Yen) (OCT) -¥63.9B  ¥71.8B ¥88.5B(R-)
  18:50
PM
JPY Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance (Yen) (OCT) -¥175.6B  ¥75.5B -¥33.0B
  23:00
PM
JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting      
Thu
Nov 20
  JPY Bank of Japan Target Rate   0.30% 0.30%
  02:15
AM
CHF Trade Balance (Swiss franc) (OCT) 1.84B  1.28B  1.46B(R+)
  04:30
AM
GBP Retail Sales (MoM) (OCT) -0.1%  -0.8% -0.5%(R-)
  04:30
AM
 GBP Retail Sales (YoY) (OCT) 1.9%  1.5% 1.7%(R-)
  10:00
AM
USD Philadelphia Fed. (NOV)   -35 -37.5
  18:30
PM
USD Treasury’s Paulson to Speak On Economy, Markets In Washington      
Fri
Nov 21
03:00
AM
EUR French Purchasing Managers Index Services (NOV P)   46.6  47.5
  07:00
AM
CAD Consumer Price Index (MoM) (OCT) -1.0  -0.2% -0.1%
  07:00
AM
CAD Consumer Price Index (YoY) (OCT) 2.6%  3.4% 3.4%
  07:00
AM
CAD Bank Canada Consumer Price Index Core (MoM) (OCT) -0.2%  0.0% 0.4%
  07:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (YoY) (OCT) 1.7%  1.9% 1.7%
*All time is quoted in Eastern Time (ET).  

Interest Rate Decision

This news release details the decision for the overnight lending rate, which affects borrowing rates for consumers and businesses. Higher rates are intended to slow an economy and stem inflation, while lower rates are meant to spur economic activity through increased borrowing and consumption. Currencies are bolstered in a rising rate environment, while declining rates have the opposite effect.

Change In Employment

This report provides the net change in the number of individuals employed in the country. Economists watch for a signal of increasing or decreasing job growth, as they are leading indicators that future consumption and expenditures will expand or contract accordingly.

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

This report is a key barometer for inflation in an economy. It measures the change in prices over a period for a predetermined basket of consumer goods and services that the average household will purchase. Increased costs for such goods represent an increase in the cost of living for the average family, which translates to declining purchasing power. A central bank is likely to raise rates to counteract inflation, which in turn will generally strengthen the underlying currency.

Retail Sales

This report acts as a barometer of consumer spending and sentiment, as it measures the total sales of goods and services by retail stores. Strong sales indicate bullishness on the part of consumers, which in turn translates to an expanding economy. Weaker sales indicate that consumers are cautious and less willing to consume, which in turn translates to contraction in the economy.

Trade Balance

The trade balance figure is simply the difference between the amount of export and imports of goods and services for the reported month between a country and other foreign trade partners. When exports are greater than imports, a trade surplus is created. When imports are greater than exports, a deficit is created. If there is more money leaving the country than actually coming in. As a result, the report is taken into heavy consideration as it indicates flow of goods and services and stand as one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payments report.

Gross Domestic Product

This report provides a barometer of the country’s overall economic health, measuring the production and consumption of goods and services. Strong GDP growth signals an expanding economy and raises concerns of inflation, portending the likelihood of rising rates. Contraction signals a slowing economy and the fear of recession, which generally leads to falling interest rates.

ISM Manufacturing Survey

This survey provides a barometer on the sentiment of executives toward inflation, business outlook (e.g. new orders, production, backlog, inventory levels, etc.) and labor conditions. Values over 50 indicate expansion, while values below 50 signal contraction.

Forex Profit Alert: June 29, 2008

June 29, 2008

The market opened this Sunday with all four major pairs having gapped. The JPY gapped up three pips on the open. The EUR opened down twelve pips. The GBP only gapped up by one pip. The CHF opened up four pips higher than last week's closing price. None of the pair's gaps were large enough to trigger a gap trade this week. We will have to check next weeks open to see if there are any new gap opportunities to trade.

We have seven new pivot trades, no open trades, and no closed trades.
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Global Economic Calendar: November 9 - 14, 2008

June 29, 2008

                                                                        November 9 - 14, 2008

Date Time* Currency Event Actual Forecast Previous
Mon
Nov 10
18:50
PM
JPY Trade Balance - BOP Basis (Yen) (SEP) ¥247.1B  ¥233.2B  -¥236.0B
  18:50
PM
JPY Japan Money Stock M2+CD (YoY) (OCT) ¥970.5B  2.2% 2.2% 
  18:50
PM
JPY Adjusted Current Account Total (Yen) (SEP)   ¥1004.5B ¥903.2B
  23:30
PM
JPY Bankruptcies (YoY) (OCT)     34.40%
Tue
Nov 11
00:00
AM
JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook (OCT) 25.2    32.1
  00:00
AM
JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current (OCT) 22.6  26.8 28
  04:30
AM
GBP Visible Trade Balance (Pounds) (SEP) -£7.482B  -£8.000B -£8.198B
  04:30
AM
GBP Total Trade Balance (Pounds) (SEP) -£3.863  -£4.700B -£4.737B
  09:30
AM
GBP Trade Balance Non EU (Pounds) (SEP) -£4.508B  -£4.950B -£5.165B
  05:00
AM
EUR German ZEW Survey (Economic Sentiment) (NOV) -53.5  -63.0 -63.0 
  05:00
AM
EUR German ZEW Survey (Current Situation) (NOV) 50.4  -45.0 -35.9
  05:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone ZEW Survey (Economic Sentiment) (NOV) -54.0  -60.5 -62.7
  19:30
PM
AUD Wage Cost Index (YoY) (3Q)   4.2% 4.2%
Wed
Nov 12
05:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone Industrial Producation s.a. (MoM) (SEP)   -1.2% 1.1%
  16:45
PM
NZD Retail Sales (MoM) (SEP) -0.5%  0.4%  0.4%
  16:45
PM
NZD Retail Sales Ex-Auto (MoM) (SEP) -0.9%  -1.2%  -1.4%(R-)
  16:45
PM
NZD Retail Sales Ex Inflation(QoQ) (3Q) -1.6%  -0.9%  -0.6%(R-)
  18:50
PM
JPY Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index (YoY) (OCT) 4.8%  5.5% 6.8%
Thu
Nov 13
02:00
AM
EUR German Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ) (3Q P) -0.5%  -0.2% -0.4%(R-)
  02:00
AM
EUR German Gross Domestic Product w.d.a. (YoY) (3Q P) 1.3%  1.6% 1.9%(R+)
  02:00
AM
EUR German Gross Domestic Product n.s.a. (YoY) (3Q P) 1.3%  1.6% 3.3%(R+)
  07:45
AM
EUR French Current Account (euros) (SEP) -4.0B  -3.8B  -4.2B
  02:45
AM
EUR French Consumer Price Index (MoM) (OCT) -0.1%  -0.1%  -0.1%
  07:45
AM
EUR French Consumer Price Index (YoY) (OCT) 2.7%  2.6%  3.0%
  02:45
AM
EUR French Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised (MoM) (OCT) -0.1%  -0.2% 0.0%
  07:45
AM
EUR French Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised (YoY) (OCT) 3.0%  2.9% 3.3%
  02:45
AM
EUR French Consumer Price Index Ex Tobacco Index (OCT) 118.49  118.36 118.56
  08:30
PM
CAD International Merchandise Trade (Canadian dollar) (SEP) 4.5B  5.3B 5.6B(R-)
  08:30
AM
USD Trade Balance (SEP) -56.5B  -57.0B -59.1B
  21:00
PM
NZD Non Resident Bond Holdings (OCT)     74.3%
Fri
  Nov 14
 
02:00
AM
EUR German Consumer Price Index (MoM) (OCT F) -0.2%  -0.2%  -0.2%
  02:00
AM
EUR German Consumer Price Index (YoY) (OCT F) 2.4%  2.4%  2.4%
  02:00
AM
 EUR German Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised (MoM) (OCT F) -0.3%  -0.3%  -0.3%
  02:00
AM
EUR German Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised (YoY) (OCT F) 2.5%  2.5%  2.5%
  02:45
AM
EUR French Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (3Q P) 0.1%  -0.1%  -0.3%
  02:45
AM
EUR French Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (3Q P) 0.6%  0.4%  1.2%(R+)
  04:00
AM
EUR Italian Gross Domestic Product s.a. and w.d.a. (YoY) (3Q P) -0.5%  -0.3%  -0.2%(R-)
  05:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ) (3Q A) -0.2%  -0.1%  -0.2%
  05:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) (3Q A) 0.7%  0.7%  1.4%
  05:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (MoM) (OCT) 0.0%  0.1%  0.2%
  05:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (YoY) (OCT) 3.2%  3.2%  3.6%
  05:00
AM
 EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index - Core (YoY) (OCT) 1.9%  1.9%  1.9%
  08:30
AM
USD Advance Retail Sales (OCT) -2.8%  -1.4%  -1.2%
  08:30
AM
USD Retail Sales Less Autos (OCT) -2.2%  -1.0%  -0.6%
  08:30
AM
USD Bernanke, Trichet Speak at ECB Conference in Frankfurt      
  10:00
AM
USD U. of Michigan Confidence (NOV P) 57.9  56.0  57.6
*All time is quoted in Eastern Time (ET).  

Interest Rate Decision

This news release details the decision for the overnight lending rate, which affects borrowing rates for consumers and businesses. Higher rates are intended to slow an economy and stem inflation, while lower rates are meant to spur economic activity through increased borrowing and consumption. Currencies are bolstered in a rising rate environment, while declining rates have the opposite effect.

Change In Employment

This report provides the net change in the number of individuals employed in the country. Economists watch for a signal of increasing or decreasing job growth, as they are leading indicators that future consumption and expenditures will expand or contract accordingly.

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

This report is a key barometer for inflation in an economy. It measures the change in prices over a period for a predetermined basket of consumer goods and services that the average household will purchase. Increased costs for such goods represent an increase in the cost of living for the average family, which translates to declining purchasing power. A central bank is likely to raise rates to counteract inflation, which in turn will generally strengthen the underlying currency.

Retail Sales

This report acts as a barometer of consumer spending and sentiment, as it measures the total sales of goods and services by retail stores. Strong sales indicate bullishness on the part of consumers, which in turn translates to an expanding economy. Weaker sales indicate that consumers are cautious and less willing to consume, which in turn translates to contraction in the economy.

Trade Balance

The trade balance figure is simply the difference between the amount of export and imports of goods and services for the reported month between a country and other foreign trade partners. When exports are greater than imports, a trade surplus is created. When imports are greater than exports, a deficit is created. If there is more money leaving the country than actually coming in. As a result, the report is taken into heavy consideration as it indicates flow of goods and services and stand as one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payments report.

Gross Domestic Product

This report provides a barometer of the country’s overall economic health, measuring the production and consumption of goods and services. Strong GDP growth signals an expanding economy and raises concerns of inflation, portending the likelihood of rising rates. Contraction signals a slowing economy and the fear of recession, which generally leads to falling interest rates.

ISM Manufacturing Survey

This survey provides a barometer on the sentiment of executives toward inflation, business outlook (e.g. new orders, production, backlog, inventory levels, etc.) and labor conditions. Values over 50 indicate expansion, while values below 50 signal contraction.

Global Economic Calendar: November 2 - 7, 2008

June 28, 2008

                                                                          November 2 - 7, 2008

Date Time* Currency Event Actual Forecast Previous
Sun
Nov 2
19:30
PM
AUD Retail Sales Trend (MoM) (SEP) 0.2%  0.2%  0.2%(R-)
  19:30
PM
AUD Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) (SEP) -1.1%  -0.5%  0.5%(R-) 
Mon
Nov 3
10:00
AM
USD ISM Manufacturing (OCT) 38.9 42.0 43.5
  10:00
AM
USD ISM Prices Paid (OCT) 37.0 49.0 53.5
  21:00
PM
NZD ANZ Commodity Price (OCT) -7.4%    -4.9% 
  22:30
PM
AUD Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Decision 5.25%  5.50% 6.00%
Tue
Nov 4
01:45
AM
CHF Consumer Price Index (MoM) (OCT) 0.5%  0.4% 0.1%
  01:45
AM
CHF Consumer Price Index (YoY) (OCT) 2.6%  2.5% 2.9%
  17:00
PM
USD ABC Consumer Confidence (NOV 2)     -49
  19:30
PM
AUD Trade Balance (Australian dollar) (SEP) 1460M  500M 1364M 
Wed
Nov 5
04:30
AM
GBP Industrial Production (YoY) (SEP)   -2.3% -2.3%
  05:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone Retail Sales (MoM) (SEP) -0.2%  -0.3% 0.3%
  05:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) (SEP) -1.6%  -2.25 -1.8
  16:45
PM
NZD Unemployment Rate (3Q) 4.2%  4.3% 3.9%
  16:45
PM
NZD Employment Change (QoQ) (3Q) 0.1%  -0.6% 1.2%
  16:45
PM
NZD Employment Change (YoY) (3Q) 1.0%  0.3% 0.7%
  18:50
PM
JPY Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (OCT)      
  19:01
PM
GBP NIESR Gross Domestic Product Estimate (OCT) -0.5%    -0.2%
Thu
Nov 6
 
00:00
AM
JPY Leading Index (SEP P) 89.2  89.2 89.0
  07:00
AM
GBP Bank of England Rate Decision 3.00%  4.00% 4.50%
  07:45
AM
EUR European Central Bank Rate Decision 3.25%  3.25% 3.75%
  10:00
AM
CAD Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (OCT) 52.2  58 61
Fri  
Nov 7
 
02:00
AM
EUR German Trade Balance (euros) (SEP) 15.0B  13.5B  10.6B
  02:00
AM
EUR German Current Account (euros) (SEP) 15.0B  10.3B  7.3B
  07:00
AM
CAD Net Change in Employment (OCT) 9.5K  5.0K 106.9K
  08:30
AM
USD Change in Nonfarm Payrolls (OCT) -240K  -200K -159K
  08:30
AM
USD Change in Manufacturing Payrolls (OCT) -90K  -62K -51K
  08:30
AM
USD Unemployment Rate (OCT) 6.5%  6.2% 6.1%
  08:30
AM
USD Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (OCT) 0.2%  0.2% 0.2%
  08:30
AM
USD Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) (OCT) -3.6%  -1.7%  3.2%(R-)
*All time is quoted in Eastern Time (ET).   

 

Interest Rate Decision

This news release details the decision for the overnight lending rate, which affects borrowing rates for consumers and businesses. Higher rates are intended to slow an economy and stem inflation, while lower rates are meant to spur economic activity through increased borrowing and consumption. Currencies are bolstered in a rising rate environment, while declining rates have the opposite effect.

Change In Employment

This report provides the net change in the number of individuals employed in the country. Economists watch for a signal of increasing or decreasing job growth, as they are leading indicators that future consumption and expenditures will expand or contract accordingly.

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

This report is a key barometer for inflation in an economy. It measures the change in prices over a period for a predetermined basket of consumer goods and services that the average household will purchase. Increased costs for such goods represent an increase in the cost of living for the average family, which translates to declining purchasing power. A central bank is likely to raise rates to counteract inflation, which in turn will generally strengthen the underlying currency.

Retail Sales

This report acts as a barometer of consumer spending and sentiment, as it measures the total sales of goods and services by retail stores. Strong sales indicate bullishness on the part of consumers, which in turn translates to an expanding economy. Weaker sales indicate that consumers are cautious and less willing to consume, which in turn translates to contraction in the economy.

Trade Balance

The trade balance figure is simply the difference between the amount of export and imports of goods and services for the reported month between a country and other foreign trade partners. When exports are greater than imports, a trade surplus is created. When imports are greater than exports, a deficit is created. If there is more money leaving the country than actually coming in. As a result, the report is taken into heavy consideration as it indicates flow of goods and services and stand as one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payments report.

Gross Domestic Product

This report provides a barometer of the country’s overall economic health, measuring the production and consumption of goods and services. Strong GDP growth signals an expanding economy and raises concerns of inflation, portending the likelihood of rising rates. Contraction signals a slowing economy and the fear of recession, which generally leads to falling interest rates.

ISM Manufacturing Survey

This survey provides a barometer on the sentiment of executives toward inflation, business outlook (e.g. new orders, production, backlog, inventory levels, etc.) and labor conditions. Values over 50 indicate expansion, while values below 50 signal contraction.

Global Economic Calendar: October 26 - 31, 2008

June 27, 2008

                                                                       October 26 - 31, 2008

Date Time* Currency Event Actual Forecast Previous
Mon
Oct 27
05:00
AM
EUR German IFO - Business Climate (OCT) 90.2  91  92.9
  05:00
AM
EUR German IFO - Current Assessment (OCT) 99.9  97.0  99.8 
  05:00
AM
EUR German IFO - Expectations (OCT) 81.4 85.0 86.5
  10:00
AM
USD New Home Sales (SEP) 464K 455K 452K(R-)
  10:00
AM
USD New Home Sales (MoM) (SEP) 2.7%  -2.2%  -12.6%
  (R-) 
  19:50
PM
JPY Retail Trade s.a. (MoM) (SEP) -0.5%  -0.2%  0.7%
  19:50
PM
JPY Retail Trade (YoY) (SEP) -0.4% 0.0% 0.7%
Tue
Oct 28
  USD U.S. Federal Reserve Open Market Committee Meeting      
  05:00
AM
CHF UBS Consumption Indicator (SEP) 1.669    1.581 (R-)
  10:00
AM
USD Consumer Confidence (OCT) 38  53  61.4(R+) 
  10:00
AM
USD Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (OCT) -26 -23 -18
  10:00
AM
USD Treasury’s Paulson Speaks At SIFMA Annual Meeting      
Wed
Oct 29
  EUR German Consumer Price Index (MoM) (OCT P) -0.2%  -0.2%  -0.1%
    EUR German Consumer Price Index (YoY) (OCT P) 2.4%  2.4%  2.9%
     EUR German Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised (MoM) (OCT P) -0.3%  -0.2%  -0.1%
    EUR German Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised (YoY) (OCT P) 2.5%  2.6% 3.0%
  08:30
AM
USD Durable Goods Orders (SEP)  0.8% -1.1% -5.5%(R-)
  08:30
AM
USD Durables Ex Transportation (SEP) -1.1%  -1.5% -4.1%(R-)
  09:00
AM
USD Fed’s Open Market Committee Meets on Interest Rates, Economy      
  14:15
PM
USD Federal Open Market Committee Rate Decision 1.00%  1.00% 1.50%
Thu
 Oct 30
 
  JPY Bank of Japan Rate Decision   0.50%  0.50% 
  08:30
AM
USD Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (Annualized) (3Q A) -0.3%  -0.5% 2.8%
  08:30
AM
USD Gross Domestic Product Price Index (3Q A) 4.2%  4.0% 1.1%
  19:30
PM
JPY Tokyo Consumer Price Index (YoY) (OCT) 1.2%  1.3% 1.4%
  19:30
PM
JPY Tokyo Consumer Price Index Ex-Fresh Food (YoY) (OCT) 1.5%  1.5% 1.7%
  19:30
PM
JPY Tokyo Consumer Price Index Ex Food, Energy (YoY) (OCT)  0.4%  0.5% 0.5%
  19:30
PM
JPY National Consumer Price Index (YoY) (SEP) 2.1%  2.1% 2.1%
  19:30
PM
JPY National Consumer Price Index Ex-Fresh Food (YoY) (SEP) 2.3%  2.3% 2.4%
  19:30
PM
JPY National Consumer Price Index Ex Food, Energy (YoY) (SEP) 0.2%  0.2% 0.0%
  19:30
PM
JPY Household Spending (YoY) (SEP) 4.0%  -4.0% -4.0%
Fri
 Oct 31
 
06:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Estimate (YoY) (OCT) 3.2%  3.3% 3.6%
  08:30
AM
CAD Gross Domestic Product (MoM) (AUG) -0.3%  -0.3% 0.7%
  08:30
AM
USD Personal Consumption Expenditure Deflator (YoY) (SEP) 4.2%  4.2% 4.5%
  10:00
AM
USD U. of Michigan Confidence (OCT F) 57.6  58 57.5
*All time is quoted in Eastern Time (ET).  

Interest Rate Decision

This news release details the decision for the overnight lending rate, which affects borrowing rates for consumers and businesses. Higher rates are intended to slow an economy and stem inflation, while lower rates are meant to spur economic activity through increased borrowing and consumption. Currencies are bolstered in a rising rate environment, while declining rates have the opposite effect.

Change In Employment

This report provides the net change in the number of individuals employed in the country. Economists watch for a signal of increasing or decreasing job growth, as they are leading indicators that future consumption and expenditures will expand or contract accordingly.

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

This report is a key barometer for inflation in an economy. It measures the change in prices over a period for a predetermined basket of consumer goods and services that the average household will purchase. Increased costs for such goods represent an increase in the cost of living for the average family, which translates to declining purchasing power. A central bank is likely to raise rates to counteract inflation, which in turn will generally strengthen the underlying currency.

Retail Sales

This report acts as a barometer of consumer spending and sentiment, as it measures the total sales of goods and services by retail stores. Strong sales indicate bullishness on the part of consumers, which in turn translates to an expanding economy. Weaker sales indicate that consumers are cautious and less willing to consume, which in turn translates to contraction in the economy.

Trade Balance

The trade balance figure is simply the difference between the amount of export and imports of goods and services for the reported month between a country and other foreign trade partners. When exports are greater than imports, a trade surplus is created. When imports are greater than exports, a deficit is created. If there is more money leaving the country than actually coming in. As a result, the report is taken into heavy consideration as it indicates flow of goods and services and stand as one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payments report.

Gross Domestic Product

This report provides a barometer of the country’s overall economic health, measuring the production and consumption of goods and services. Strong GDP growth signals an expanding economy and raises concerns of inflation, portending the likelihood of rising rates. Contraction signals a slowing economy and the fear of recession, which generally leads to falling interest rates.

ISM Manufacturing Survey

This survey provides a barometer on the sentiment of executives toward inflation, business outlook (e.g. new orders, production, backlog, inventory levels, etc.) and labor conditions. Values over 50 indicate expansion, while values below 50 signal contraction.

Forex Profit Alert: June 26, 2008

June 26, 2008

Yes, it was a good day today. The pound/dollar pair moved through our buy order to give us an eighty-three pip profit.
 
The other three major pairs continued to move out of their pre-FOMC ranges. The Euro, Swiss, and Yen all moved higher against the dollar. 
 

Global Economic Calendar: October 19 - 24, 2008

June 26, 2008

                                                                          October 19 - 24, 2008

Date Time* Currency Event Actual Forecast Previous
Mon
Oct 20
01:00
AM
JPY Leading Index (AUG F)     89.3
  10:00
AM
USD Bernanke Testifies at House Budget Committee on Economy      
  17:45
PM
NZD Consumer Prices (QoQ) (3Q) 1.5%  1.6% 1.6%
  17:45
PM
NZD Consumer Prices (YoY) (3Q) 5.1%  5.1% 4.0%
  20:30
PM
AUD Reserve Bank’s Board Minutes (OCT)      
Tue
Oct 21
02:15
AM
CHF Trade Balance (Swiss franc) (SEP)     1.44B
  09:00
AM
CAD Bank of Canada Rate Decision 2.25%  2.00% 2.50%
  19:50
PM
JPY All Industry Activity Index (MoM) (AUG)   -1.7% 0.8%
  20:30
PM
AUD Consumer Prices (QoQ) (3Q)     1.5%
  20:30
PM
AUD Consumer Prices (YoY) (3Q)      
Wed
  Oct 22
  
08:30
AM
CAD Retail Sales (MoM) (AUG) -0.3%  0.2% 0.1%
  16:00
PM
NZD Reserve Bank of New Zealand Rate Decision 6.50%  6.50% 7.50%
Thu
Oct 23
 
04:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone Current Account s.a (euros) (AUG) -8.4B    -1.8B(R-)
  04:00
AM
EUR Euro-Zone Current Account n.s.a. (euros) (AUG) -7.9B    -1.1B
  04:30
AM
GBP BBA Loans for House Purchase (SEP) 23422    21342(R+)
Fri
Oct 24
04:30
AM
GBP Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (3Q A) -0.5%  -0.2% 0.0%
  04:30
AM
GBP Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (3Q A) 0.3%  0.5% 1.5%
  07:00
AM
CAD Consumer Price Index (MoM) (SEP)   -0.1% -0.2%
  07:00
AM
CAD Consumer Price Index (YoY) (SEP) 3.4%  3.3% 3.5%
  07:00
AM
CAD Bank Canada Consumer Price Index Core (MoM) (SEP) 0.4%  0.3% 0.3%
  07:00
AM
CAD Bank Canada Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) (SEP) 1.7%  1.7% 1.7%
*All time is quoted in Eastern Time (ET).  

 

Interest Rate Decision

This news release details the decision for the overnight lending rate, which affects borrowing rates for consumers and businesses. Higher rates are intended to slow an economy and stem inflation, while lower rates are meant to spur economic activity through increased borrowing and consumption. Currencies are bolstered in a rising rate environment, while declining rates have the opposite effect.

Change In Employment

This report provides the net change in the number of individuals employed in the country. Economists watch for a signal of increasing or decreasing job growth, as they are leading indicators that future consumption and expenditures will expand or contract accordingly.

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

This report is a key barometer for inflation in an economy. It measures the change in prices over a period for a predetermined basket of consumer goods and services that the average household will purchase. Increased costs for such goods represent an increase in the cost of living for the average family, which translates to declining purchasing power. A central bank is likely to raise rates to counteract inflation, which in turn will generally strengthen the underlying currency.

Retail Sales

This report acts as a barometer of consumer spending and sentiment, as it measures the total sales of goods and services by retail stores. Strong sales indicate bullishness on the part of consumers, which in turn translates to an expanding economy. Weaker sales indicate that consumers are cautious and less willing to consume, which in turn translates to contraction in the economy.

Trade Balance

The trade balance figure is simply the difference between the amount of export and imports of goods and services for the reported month between a country and other foreign trade partners. When exports are greater than imports, a trade surplus is created. When imports are greater than exports, a deficit is created. If there is more money leaving the country than actually coming in. As a result, the report is taken into heavy consideration as it indicates flow of goods and services and stand as one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payments report.

Gross Domestic Product

This report provides a barometer of the country’s overall economic health, measuring the production and consumption of goods and services. Strong GDP growth signals an expanding economy and raises concerns of inflation, portending the likelihood of rising rates. Contraction signals a slowing economy and the fear of recession, which generally leads to falling interest rates.

ISM Manufacturing Survey

This survey provides a barometer on the sentiment of executives toward inflation, business outlook (e.g. new orders, production, backlog, inventory levels, etc.) and labor conditions. Values over 50 indicate expansion, while values below 50 signal contraction.

Margins in Forex Trading - Importance of Margins for Profit

June 26, 2008

Trading in the Forex market is done with “lots” and “mini-lots” of currency pairs.  These lots and mini-lots are leveraged money, which is what allows you the potential to make so much profit from trading currency in the Forex.  The standard size for a lot is $100,000 in currency, while a mini-lot usually represents $10,000 in currency.  What leverage allows, is that you don’t need $100,000 to trade $100,000 worth of currency.  That’s where leverage comes in. 

If you have leverage of 100:1 then you only need $1,000 to trade a lot, since the money is leveraged at around 100 to 1.  Most leverage comes at levels of 50:1, 100:1, and rarely at 200:1.

These are the most common amounts used, though sometimes you might hear about a “micro-lot” being traded.  A micro-lot is 10% of a mini-lot and has a value of $1,000 of currency.  Usually, though, all trading will be done with lots and mini-lots. The use of lots allows more trading because a smaller amount of money (the margin) can allow a trader to control a much larger stake of actual currency. Margin, leverage, and lots and mini-lots are very much connected and allow the common trader to be involved in the Forex market.  Traders can trade larger amounts of money with leverage than they could otherwise afford, allowing them to make a much larger return on their trades.  This occurs because money is being returned on the entire lot, not just on the initial amount in the trader’s account.

This is how a trader can make profit on a .0001 raise in a currency value, because the sheer amount of currency involved is likely leveraged 100 times over.

The same can happen the other way, however, so while the Forex market offers unmatched opportunities in gaining profit, leverage also magnifies losses when the trader is on the wrong side of a market swing. 

You need a good proven trading system to avoid being on the wrong end of a market swing.

And now I would like to offer you free access to a Forex trading system that is 89.1% accurate, so you can literally start trading the Forex today. You can access it now by going to: http://www.foreximpact.com/reports/89percent/

From Jason Fielder – Founder, ForexImpact.com
 

Understanding Pips in Forex Currency Trading

June 26, 2008

As a new Forex trader, one of the most important things you will need to learn is how to figure out the value of a pip for any currency pair.  A pip is the smallest measure of value in a currency pair in Forex, so it’s critical that you understand this concept. 

When someone is saying “30 pips,” they’re talking about thirty units of value in a trade.  Both profits and losses are measured in pips, though a pip for USD/JPY is not the same as a pip for USD/CAD.  The simplest way to put it is this: one pip is one unit of the smallest measured decimal place. For example, if you are trading USD/JPY at 114.95, then one pip is .01 Yen, since that is the smallest decimal place of measurement used in this pair.  The JPY is measured in two decimal spaces, and almost all other currencies are measured in four, though it does vary.

For example, if the USD/CAD is trading at 1.0621 CAD than a pip for this transaction is .0001 CAD.  If you trade AUD/USD while it’s at 1.2433, then one pip for this trade is .0001 since that combination has four decimal places, as well.  See how that works?  Like many parts of Forex trading, it is easy once you get used to it. So if the USD/JPY is quoted to only two decimal places, so Yen .01 is the value of this pip.  If this pair goes from 114.95 to 115.00, it gained 5 pips.  Likewise, if the USD/CAD goes from 1.0621 to 1.0611, it lost 10 pips. 

That simple math is all that’s needed at that point. So if USD/JPY went from 88.25 to 88.29 that would be a 4 pip increase.  On the other hand, if it went from 88.25 to 87.90, that would be a 35 pip loss. As a note, many non-Yen currencies are figured out four places, making many pips involving USD in the currency pair .0001, but just remember that a pip is one unit of the furthest listed decimal point and you’ll do fine.  This also means that for each currency pair the pip can be a different value.  You will want to keep track of this.

And now I would like to offer you free access to a Forex trading system that is 89.1% accurate, so you can literally start trading the Forex today. You can access it now by going to: http://www.foreximpact.com/reports/89percent/

From Jason Fielder – Founder, ForexImpact.com 

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